Despite ongoing Middle East conflicts, a pullback in AI stocks and fears of stubborn inflation, the MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) ex USA Index returned a positive .37% for the month of July, 2026 and 14.43% year-to- date (January 1, – July 31, 2926). The representative MSCI USA index was down .06% for July and up 10.01% year-to-date.
The relevant developed international MSCI index was up 2.08% for July. The European regional index returning a positive 1.62%, albeit with great dispersion among its members. Led down by the lithography systems maker ASML, the Netherlands fell 9.44%. Nokia, the largest component of the Finnish index, reported a disappointing 2nd quarter and pushed its country index down 4.97%. Some investors rotated into the energy-heavy Norway index, which rose 11.55% The UK, a much more prominent European component, rode the appreciation of energy and mining stocks and rose 5.32%. Year-to-date, the developed MSCI European index was up 10.09%.
Elsewhere in developed markets, the Canadian index was up 2.87% for the month as it benefitted from good reports from financial companies and domestic technology companies. Developed Asia was a mixed bag. Despite heavy technology exposure, the Japan index eked out a 1.03% return. Bargain hunting was one reason credited for the 10.87% rise in the Hong Kong index. Considered a regional safe haven with a strong banking sector, MSCI’s Singapore index was up 10.32% for July. Year-to-date the MSCI’s developed World ex USA index was up 11.85%.
Down 3.03%, MSCI’s EM (Emerging Markets) index didn’t fare as well as its developed counterpart in July, and its constituent regions displayed huge dispersion. The technology heavy Korean and Taiwan indices did an about- face and fell 17.11% and 5.29%, respectively, thus contributing to a decline in the EM Asia index of 4.17%. On the other hand, the financial heavy EM Europe index was up 6.14%. With a top ten dominated by materials, financials and energy companies, MSCI’s Latin American index was up 4.94% for the month. Year-to-date MSCI’s EM index is up 20.27%.
At the beginning of July, Andrew Slimmon, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley, wrote the following:
To be clear, we would not advocate moving equity exposure completely out of the US, but a smattering of US, European and Asian stocks just might outperform a US-only approach. For the second year in a row.
I believe this still holds true at the beginning of August.
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